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This report provides a multi-faceted analysis of Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC), evaluating the company across five key angles including its business moat, financial statements, past performance, future growth, and fair value. Updated on October 27, 2025, our findings are benchmarked against peers like Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS), OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC), and ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB), all framed within the investment principles of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger.

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC)

Mixed: Peapack-Gladstone offers a compelling value case offset by significant operational challenges. The stock appears undervalued, trading at just 0.76 times its tangible book value. Its private banking model delivers excellent credit quality and a stable, low-cost deposit base. However, a high efficiency ratio near 74% severely drags on profitability. Earnings have also been volatile, and the dividend has not increased in five years. Future growth is likely to be stable but modest, relying on its niche wealth management arm. The bank may suit patient value investors aware of these efficiency issues.

US: NASDAQ

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Summary Analysis

Business & Moat Analysis

2/5

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC) operates as a boutique-style bank, moving beyond the traditional community banking model to offer a more specialized, service-intensive approach. The company's business model is a hybrid, combining standard commercial and retail banking with a robust private wealth management division. Its core operations revolve around serving two primary client segments: small-to-medium-sized businesses and high-net-worth individuals and their families, predominantly within the affluent markets of New Jersey. The bank generates revenue from two main streams: net interest income, which is the profit made from the difference between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits, and noninterest income, which is comprised of fees from services. The three most significant components of its business are its Commercial Lending portfolio (including Commercial & Industrial and Commercial Real Estate loans), its Private Wealth Management services, and its Deposit Gathering operations which fund these activities. PGC's strategy is to be the single-source financial partner for its chosen clientele, leveraging deep personal relationships to cross-sell a wide array of products, from business loans to investment management and trust services, creating a holistic and sticky client experience.

The bank's largest revenue driver is its Commercial Lending division, which constitutes over 80% of its total loan portfolio. This is split primarily between Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans, which make up about 61% of the portfolio, and Commercial & Industrial (C&I) loans, at roughly 23%. The market for commercial lending in New Jersey is highly competitive and mature, with a modest projected CAGR of 2-3% annually. Profitability in this segment is dictated by the bank's ability to manage credit risk and its net interest margin. The market is crowded with competitors ranging from money-center banks like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, to large regional players such as M&T Bank and Valley National Bancorp, and numerous smaller community banks. PGC attempts to differentiate itself not on price, but on service and relationship depth, offering customized credit solutions and direct access to decision-makers, a contrast to the more bureaucratic processes at larger institutions. The primary consumers are local business owners and real estate investors. These relationships can be quite sticky; securing a new commercial banking relationship is a complex process involving significant due diligence, making businesses reluctant to switch providers without a compelling reason. PGC's competitive moat in this area is narrow and based on its relationship-centric service model. It lacks the scale and cost advantages of its larger rivals, making it vulnerable to economic downturns in its concentrated New Jersey footprint and to aggressive pricing from competitors. The heavy concentration in CRE, particularly in a high-interest-rate environment, represents a significant vulnerability.

A cornerstone of PGC's strategy and its most significant competitive advantage lies in its Private Wealth Management division, which operates under the Peapack Private brand. This segment provides investment management, trust, and financial planning services, generating a substantial portion of the bank's noninterest (fee) income, which accounts for over 30% of total revenue—a very high figure for a bank of its size. The U.S. wealth management market is vast, valued at over $1.5 trillion, with a projected CAGR of over 7%, driven by an aging population and the intergenerational transfer of wealth. Competition is intense, coming from large brokerage firms (e.g., Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch), independent registered investment advisors (RIAs), and other banks with wealth divisions. PGC competes by offering an integrated model where a client's business banking, personal banking, and wealth management are all handled under one roof, creating a seamless and high-touch experience. The target consumers are high-net-worth and ultra-high-net-worth individuals, families, and institutions, who value personalized advice and long-term relationships. These relationships are exceptionally sticky due to high switching costs, which include not just the hassle of moving complex financial accounts but also the loss of institutional knowledge and personal trust built over years. The moat for this service is strong, built on brand reputation, regulatory barriers to entry in trust services, and the high switching costs associated with deep, trust-based client relationships. This division provides a stable, recurring, and high-margin revenue stream that is not dependent on the direction of interest rates, providing a valuable ballast to the more cyclical nature of traditional banking.

Underpinning the bank's lending and investment activities is its Deposit Gathering operation, which sources the funds necessary for loans. PGC’s deposit base is a direct reflection of its client focus, heavily composed of commercial operating accounts and the large cash holdings of its wealth management clients. While this strategy yields large individual accounts, it results in a funding base that is less granular and more expensive than that of a traditional retail-focused community bank. This became particularly apparent as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates, forcing PGC to pay more to retain these large, sophisticated depositors who demand competitive rates. This has driven the bank's cost of deposits up significantly, compressing its net interest margin. The bank's reliance on fewer, larger depositors introduces concentration risk and makes its funding more sensitive to market shocks or changes in sentiment. While the deep client relationships from its private banking model help retain deposits, this funding structure is an inherent vulnerability. The moat here is weak; PGC lacks the vast, low-cost core deposit franchise of larger retail banks, which is built on millions of small, insured checking and savings accounts. Instead, its funding is transactional and rate-sensitive, a structural disadvantage in a competitive environment for deposits. This strategic trade-off—sacrificing a low-cost, granular deposit base for a high-value, integrated client model—is central to understanding PGC's business model and its associated risks.

Financial Statement Analysis

3/5

A detailed look at Peapack-Gladstone's financial statements reveals a bank benefiting from the current interest rate environment but struggling with cost control. On the income statement, the standout positive is the robust growth in Net Interest Income (NII), which jumped 34.21% year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025. This indicates the bank is earning significantly more on its loans than it is paying out for deposits. However, profitability remains a key concern. The bank's Return on Assets (ROA) of 0.53% and Return on Equity (ROE) of 6.06% are lackluster for the industry, suggesting it is not generating strong profits relative to its size and shareholder investment.

The balance sheet appears reasonably resilient. The bank's ratio of loans to deposits was a healthy 90.8% in the most recent quarter, showing it is primarily funding its lending activities with stable customer deposits rather than more volatile wholesale funding. Capital levels also appear adequate, with tangible common equity representing about 8.0% of total assets. A potential red flag, however, lies in the impact of interest rates on its investment portfolio. The balance sheet shows a negative comprehensive income adjustment, suggesting unrealized losses on securities have reduced the bank's tangible book value, a common challenge for banks in a rising rate environment.

Overall, the financial foundation is stable but not without risks. The strong NII growth provides a solid revenue base, but the high efficiency ratio, which recently stood at 74%, is a significant drag on earnings. This means the bank is spending 74 cents to earn every dollar of revenue, a figure that is well above the industry benchmark for efficient operations (typically below 60%). For investors, this means the bank's strong revenue performance is not fully translating into bottom-line profit, pointing to a need for better cost management.

Past Performance

2/5

Over the last five fiscal years (FY2020–FY2024), Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC) has demonstrated a dual narrative. On one hand, the bank has executed well on growing its core balance sheet. Total loans grew from $4.4 billion to $5.5 billion, and total deposits expanded from $4.8 billion to $6.1 billion. This indicates a solid franchise capable of attracting and retaining customers in its market. This growth was managed prudently, with the bank's loan-to-deposit ratio remaining stable and credit quality metrics staying exceptionally strong, a clear positive differentiator from many peers.

However, the bank's profitability and earnings consistency tell a much weaker story. Revenue has been choppy, but the bigger issue is the volatility in net income, which swung from $26.2 million in 2020 to a high of $74.3 million in 2022, only to fall back to $33.0 million by 2024. This was driven by a sharp compression in its Net Interest Margin (NIM) as rising interest rates caused funding costs to skyrocket. Consequently, key profitability metrics like Return on Equity (ROE) have been unstable, ranging from a low of 5.1% to a high of 13.8% before settling back at 5.6%, suggesting a business model that is not resilient across different economic cycles.

The historical record for shareholder returns is underwhelming. The dividend per share has remained flat at $0.20 annually for the entire five-year period, offering reliability but no growth. While the company has consistently repurchased shares, reducing the total count by nearly 3% since 2020, its total shareholder return has significantly lagged more dynamic competitors like ConnectOne Bancorp and even larger, more traditional peers like Provident Financial Services. This suggests the market has not rewarded PGC's balance sheet growth due to its inconsistent earnings and high-cost structure.

In conclusion, PGC's historical record does not inspire high confidence in its execution capabilities regarding profitability. While the bank has proven it can grow its franchise and manage credit risk exceptionally well, its inability to control costs, evidenced by a deteriorating efficiency ratio, and its vulnerability to interest rate changes have led to a volatile earnings stream and subpar returns for shareholders. The past performance indicates a well-managed bank from a risk perspective but a poor performer from a profitability and efficiency standpoint.

Future Growth

1/5

The U.S. regional and community banking industry is navigating a period of significant change, with the outlook for the next 3-5 years shaped by a complex interplay of economic and technological forces. The primary shift revolves around the normalization of interest rates after a period of historic lows and a subsequent rapid tightening cycle. This has bifurcated the industry: banks with strong, low-cost core deposit franchises are positioned to thrive, while those reliant on rate-sensitive or wholesale funding face sustained pressure on net interest margins (NIMs). Industry-wide loan growth is expected to be modest, likely tracking nominal GDP growth at around 2-4% annually, as higher borrowing costs temper demand, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors like commercial real estate (CRE). A second major trend is the ongoing digital transformation. Customer expectations for seamless digital banking experiences are forcing smaller banks to invest heavily in technology to compete with national players and fintechs, pressuring expense ratios. This technological arms race makes market entry for new de-novo banks harder, while simultaneously intensifying competition on user experience. Lastly, regulatory scrutiny is increasing, especially for banks crossing the $100 billion asset threshold, leading to higher compliance costs. Consolidation is a likely catalyst for change, as scale becomes more critical for absorbing these technology and compliance costs, potentially leading to a wave of M&A among smaller institutions seeking stronger competitive footing.

The competitive landscape is becoming more challenging. The fight for low-cost deposits will remain the central battleground. Banks that can successfully gather and retain granular, sticky retail and small business operating accounts will have a decisive cost advantage. Over the next 3-5 years, competitive intensity will increase as non-bank lenders and fintechs continue to chip away at market share in areas like personal loans and small business lending. For a bank like Peapack-Gladstone, which operates in the crowded and affluent New Jersey market, competition comes from all angles: large money-center banks like JPMorgan Chase, super-regionals like M&T Bank, and a host of local community banks all vying for the same customers. The key to success will be defending a specific, profitable niche. The total addressable market for regional banking services remains vast, but growth will be captured by institutions that can either achieve superior scale and efficiency or offer a differentiated, high-value service proposition that commands premium pricing or loyalty, insulating them from pure price competition.

Peapack-Gladstone's primary engine for future growth is its Private Wealth Management division. This service, which provides investment management, trust, and advisory services, is less cyclical than traditional banking. Current consumption is high among its target market of high-net-worth (HNW) individuals in the New Jersey area, but it is constrained by intense competition from larger, global wealth managers like Morgan Stanley and specialized registered investment advisors (RIAs). Growth over the next 3-5 years will come from capturing a greater share of the massive intergenerational wealth transfer, estimated to be over $70 trillion in the U.S. over the next two decades. PGC aims to increase assets under management (AUM) by attracting new clients and deepening relationships with existing banking customers. We expect AUM growth to target 8-10% annually, outpacing the bank's overall growth. A key catalyst would be successfully hiring experienced wealth advisors who bring a book of business with them. Customers choose wealth managers based on trust, performance, and the quality of the advisor relationship. PGC's integrated model, where banking and wealth are managed under one roof, is a key differentiator that allows it to outperform larger, more siloed competitors. However, if the bank fails to deliver competitive investment returns or loses key personnel, it risks losing share to the multitude of independent RIAs that offer more specialized or lower-cost solutions.

The outlook for Peapack-Gladstone's Commercial Lending segment is far more challenging. This division, with its heavy concentration in Commercial Real Estate (~61% of loans), faces significant headwinds. Current demand for new CRE loans is constrained by high interest rates, which have made many projects economically unviable, and by uncertainty in specific sectors like office space. Over the next 3-5 years, loan growth is expected to be muted, likely in the low single digits (1-3% annually). Any increase in consumption will likely come from its Commercial & Industrial (C&I) portfolio as businesses invest in operations, while CRE loan balances may stagnate or even shrink. A potential catalyst could be a significant drop in interest rates, but this is not widely expected in the near term. The competitive environment for high-quality commercial loans is fierce. PGC competes with larger banks that can offer more competitive pricing and smaller banks that are deeply embedded in local communities. PGC's ability to outperform hinges on its relationship-based service model, but this is unlikely to be enough to overcome broad market weakness. The most significant risk is a downturn in the New Jersey CRE market, which would directly impact loan demand and credit quality. Given PGC's concentration, a 10% decline in CRE valuations could trigger credit issues and force the bank to pull back on new lending, severely limiting growth. This risk is medium to high in the current economic environment.

Deposit Gathering represents a critical constraint on PGC's future growth. The bank's business model, focused on a smaller number of large commercial and HNW clients, results in a high-cost, rate-sensitive deposit base. Currently, the bank is limited by its inability to source low-cost, granular retail deposits at scale. This forces it to pay higher rates to retain funds, with a cost of deposits around 2.9%. Over the next 3-5 years, this dynamic is unlikely to change significantly. The bank will struggle to grow its deposit base organically without continuing to pay premium rates, which will cap the potential for net interest margin expansion and, by extension, earnings growth. Any growth in deposits will likely be expensive, sourced from brokered deposits or certificates of deposit (CDs). The path to outperformance is narrow and would require a fundamental shift in strategy toward attracting more operating accounts, which is difficult without a large retail branch network. Competitors with established, low-cost consumer deposit franchises, like Provident Financial Services, are better positioned to win the funding war. The primary risk for PGC is deposit volatility; a market shock or an aggressive rate-cutting cycle could lead to rapid outflows from its rate-chasing clients, forcing the bank to seek even more expensive wholesale funding. The probability of this risk is medium, as seen during the 2023 regional banking turmoil.

The number of community and regional banks in the U.S. has been steadily decreasing for decades due to consolidation, and this trend is expected to continue over the next five years. The primary drivers are the high fixed costs associated with technology upgrades and regulatory compliance, which create significant economies of scale. Smaller banks find it increasingly difficult to compete with the digital offerings and broader product sets of their larger rivals. PGC, with assets around $6 billion, is in a challenging position—too large to be a simple community bank but lacking the scale of a major regional player. This could make it an attractive acquisition target for a larger bank looking to enter or expand its presence in the affluent New Jersey wealth management market. Alternatively, PGC could seek to be a consolidator of even smaller banks, but this is a high-risk strategy that requires significant capital and execution expertise. The economics of banking favor scale, and without a clear path to achieving it, PGC's long-term independent growth trajectory is constrained. The structure of the industry suggests that banks of PGC's size will continue to be squeezed, making M&A a key theme influencing its future.

Looking ahead, Peapack-Gladstone's success will be a tale of two banks. Its future prosperity is inextricably linked to the continued expansion of its wealth management arm. This division must not only grow AUM but also become more deeply integrated with the commercial bank to drive cross-selling opportunities and solidify client relationships. The bank's digital strategy will be crucial here, not as a tool for mass-market acquisition, but as a platform to deliver a superior, high-touch experience for its wealthy clientele. However, investors cannot ignore the fundamental challenges facing the core banking franchise. The bank must find a way to stabilize its funding costs and de-risk its loan portfolio from its heavy CRE concentration. Without improvement in these areas, the strong performance of the wealth division will be continuously diluted by weakness in net interest income, leading to inconsistent and underwhelming earnings growth for the foreseeable future.

Fair Value

3/5

As of October 27, 2025, Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation's stock price of $26.25 suggests a clear undervaluation when viewed through standard banking valuation metrics. The primary method for valuing a bank is by comparing its market price to its tangible book value per share (TBVPS), which represents the company's net asset value. PGC's TBVPS is $34.37, meaning its Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) ratio is approximately 0.76x. For a consistently profitable bank, a P/TBV ratio below 1.0x is a strong indicator that the market is pricing the company's assets at a discount.

This asset-based view is supported by earnings-based multiples. While the company's trailing P/E ratio of 14.18 is slightly above the regional bank average, its forward P/E ratio of 9.07 is compellingly low. This sharp drop indicates that analysts expect significant earnings growth in the near future, a positive catalyst that does not appear to be fully priced into the stock. Applying a conservative P/TBV multiple range of 0.9x to 1.1x—a reasonable band for a regional bank with its profitability profile—yields a fair value between $30.93 and $37.81, highlighting a meaningful upside from the current price.

From an income perspective, the dividend yield is modest at 0.73%. However, this is a result of a deliberate capital allocation strategy. The dividend payout ratio is extremely low at 10.37%, meaning the company retains the vast majority of its earnings. These retained earnings are reinvested back into the business, which grows the tangible book value over time. This focus on reinvestment and compounding book value is what underpins the stock's long-term intrinsic worth, rather than providing a high immediate income stream to shareholders.

Triangulating these valuation methods, the asset-based approach (P/TBV) carries the most weight, as a bank's value is intrinsically tied to its balance sheet. The compelling P/TBV discount, supported by an attractive forward P/E ratio, strongly suggests the stock is undervalued. The low stock price, near its 52-week bottom, seems driven more by poor market sentiment than a deterioration in the company's fundamental value, creating a potential opportunity for investors.

Future Risks

  • Peapack-Gladstone faces three primary risks: its significant exposure to the challenged commercial real estate (CRE) market, ongoing pressure on its profitability from high interest rates, and intense competition from larger banks. The health of its loan portfolio is heavily tied to the regional New Jersey economy, which could suffer in a downturn. Investors should closely monitor the bank's credit quality, particularly in its CRE loans, and its ability to manage funding costs in the current rate environment.

Wisdom of Top Value Investors

Bill Ackman

Bill Ackman would likely view Peapack-Gladstone as a high-quality but ultimately uninspiring community bank that falls short of his investment criteria. He would appreciate its unique niche in wealth management, which provides stable fee income, and its exceptionally strong credit quality, with non-performing loans under 0.40%. However, Ackman would be highly critical of its poor operational efficiency, reflected in a high efficiency ratio of around 65%, which significantly trails best-in-class peers like ConnectOne Bancorp at under 45%. This inefficiency leads to merely adequate profitability (ROAE of ~11%), which is not compelling enough for a concentrated, long-term investment. Given its modest growth and a valuation of ~1.3x tangible book value that isn't a clear bargain, Ackman would conclude that PGC is a well-run local franchise but lacks the scale, operational excellence, or clear catalyst for significant value creation he seeks, and he would therefore avoid the stock. For retail investors, the takeaway is that while PGC is a safe and stable bank, it does not offer the kind of high-performance profile that attracts investors like Ackman who hunt for exceptional businesses at reasonable prices. Ackman's decision could change if new management initiated a clear and aggressive plan to improve operational efficiency or if the bank put itself up for sale, creating a clear event-driven path to value realization.

Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett's investment thesis for regional banks centers on finding simple, understandable businesses with durable, low-cost deposit franchises, conservative lending practices, and trustworthy management, all purchased at a discount to intrinsic value. Peapack-Gladstone (PGC) would appeal to him due to its understandable private banking model, exceptionally strong credit quality with non-performing loans below 0.40%, and consistent profitability shown by a Return on Assets consistently over 1.0%. However, Buffett would likely be deterred by the bank's lack of significant scale at only ~$6.5 billion in assets and its mediocre efficiency ratio of ~65%, which suggests a higher cost structure. While the business quality is high, its valuation at ~1.3x price-to-tangible-book-value does not offer the compelling margin of safety he typically seeks for a smaller institution. Therefore, Warren Buffett would likely admire PGC as a well-run bank but would ultimately avoid investing, preferring to wait for a much lower price or to invest in a larger, more dominant franchise. If forced to choose the best banks from this group, Buffett would likely favor ConnectOne (CNOB) for its best-in-class profitability (ROAE > 15%), Valley National (VLY) for its scale and deep value discount (0.8x P/TBV), and Provident Financial (PFS) as a solid, traditional operator at a fair price (1.1x P/TBV). Buffett's decision on PGC could change if the stock price fell significantly, offering a valuation at or below its tangible book value.

Charlie Munger

Charlie Munger would approach any bank with caution, viewing them as highly leveraged businesses where avoiding major errors is the primary path to success. He would find Peapack-Gladstone's private banking and wealth management niche appealing, as the ~$10 billion in assets under administration provides stable fee income and a valuable source of low-cost deposits—a sign of a rational business model. However, Munger would be immediately critical of the bank's high efficiency ratio of ~65%, which indicates high costs that consume too much profit compared to hyper-efficient peers like ConnectOne Bancorp (<45%). The bank's management of cash appears prudent, returning a portion to shareholders via a ~3.5% dividend yield while reinvesting the rest for modest growth, a typical strategy for a mature bank but not one of a dynamic compounder. For retail investors, the takeaway is that PGC is a safe, conservatively managed bank but not an exceptional investment; Munger would almost certainly avoid it in favor of a superior business. If forced to choose top banks, he would gravitate towards ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB) for its best-in-class profitability (ROAE >15%), Customers Bancorp (CUBI) for its innovative model and deep value P/E ratio (<6x), and a fortress-like super-regional like M&T Bank for its proven discipline across cycles. Munger's view on PGC would only turn positive if management could deliver a clear plan to drive its efficiency ratio below 60%, proving the profitability of its niche model.

Competition

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC) carves out a distinct identity in the regional banking landscape by integrating a robust wealth management arm with its commercial and personal banking services. Unlike many competitors that primarily focus on the net interest spread from lending, PGC derives a substantial portion of its revenue from non-interest sources like investment management fees. This 'private banking' model targets affluent individuals and businesses, aiming for deeper, more profitable relationships. The key advantage of this strategy is a more stable, fee-based revenue stream that is less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations than traditional lending. It also fosters a loyal, high-quality deposit base, as wealthy clients often consolidate their financial assets with a single trusted provider.

However, this specialized approach is not without its challenges. Maintaining a high-touch private banking service model is expensive, often leading to a higher efficiency ratio compared to more streamlined, tech-focused competitors. The efficiency ratio, which measures non-interest expenses as a percentage of revenue, is a critical metric in banking; a lower number indicates better profitability. PGC must constantly balance the high cost of personalized service against the revenue it generates. Furthermore, its success is heavily reliant on its ability to attract and retain skilled wealth advisors and on the financial well-being of its concentrated, affluent customer base in the New Jersey and New York metropolitan areas, making it more susceptible to localized economic downturns.

When compared to its peers, PGC's profile presents a clear contrast. Larger regional banks like Valley National or WSFS Financial benefit from economies of scale, allowing them to invest more heavily in technology and offer more competitive loan pricing. Other community banks, such as Provident Financial or OceanFirst, compete directly for the same local customers but often do so with a more traditional, lending-focused model. Meanwhile, tech-forward banks like Customers Bancorp or ConnectOne challenge PGC on efficiency and digital service delivery. PGC's competitive position, therefore, depends on its ability to prove that its premium, relationship-based model can deliver superior long-term returns and stability compared to these more conventional or technologically advanced rivals.

  • Provident Financial Services, Inc.

    PFS • NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE

    Provident Financial Services (PFS) is a larger, more traditional community bank operating in the same core New Jersey market as PGC, making it a direct and relevant competitor. While PGC pursues a niche strategy focused on wealth management, PFS operates a more conventional model centered on commercial real-estate, business, and retail lending. This results in PFS having a larger balance sheet and loan portfolio, but with greater exposure to credit cycles and interest rate volatility. PGC's model offers diversification through fee income, but at a smaller scale and with higher operational costs associated with its private banking services.

    In terms of business and moat, both banks benefit from strong local brand recognition and the high switching costs inherent in primary banking relationships. PFS's brand is built on its long history and broader community presence, with over 80 branches across New Jersey and Pennsylvania. PGC's brand is more boutique, catering to a wealthier clientele in specific locales. PFS has a significant scale advantage with total assets of ~$14 billion compared to PGC's ~$6.5 billion. Neither bank has strong network effects beyond their local branch footprint. Regulatory barriers are high and equal for both. PGC's unique moat is its integrated wealth management division with ~$10 billion in assets under administration, creating stickier client relationships than PFS's more transactional model. Overall Winner for Business & Moat: PFS, due to its superior scale and market presence, which provides a more durable foundation in the competitive New Jersey market.

    Financially, the comparison reveals the trade-offs between their models. PFS typically shows stronger revenue growth from its larger loan base, with recent loan growth around 5-6% annually. PGC's growth is a mix of modest loan growth and more volatile wealth management fee growth. PFS often operates with a better (lower) efficiency ratio, recently near 58%, while PGC's is higher at ~65% due to its high-touch service model; PFS is better. In profitability, PGC's focus on wealthy clients can lead to a higher Return on Average Assets (ROAA), sometimes reaching ~1.10%, compared to PFS's ~0.95%, making PGC better. Both maintain strong capital, with Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratios comfortably above 11%. PFS's dividend yield of ~5.0% is often higher than PGC's ~3.5%, but PGC maintains a more conservative payout ratio. Overall Financials Winner: PFS, for its greater efficiency and stronger dividend profile, which suggest more disciplined operational management.

    Looking at past performance over the last five years, PFS has leveraged its scale to deliver more consistent, albeit modest, earnings growth. Its 5-year revenue CAGR has been around 4%, while PGC's has been more volatile but sometimes higher due to acquisitions or market performance in its wealth division. In terms of shareholder returns, PFS's 5-year Total Shareholder Return (TSR) has been approximately +15%, while PGC's has been closer to +5%, indicating better market appreciation for PFS's steadier model. For risk, PGC's credit quality is often superior, with non-performing loans (NPLs) as a percentage of total loans frequently below 0.40%, compared to PFS which can be closer to the industry average of ~0.60%. PGC wins on risk management. However, PFS wins on TSR and growth consistency. Overall Past Performance Winner: PFS, as its superior shareholder returns reflect a market preference for its scale and predictability over PGC's niche approach.

    For future growth, both banks face a mature and competitive market in New Jersey. PFS's growth is tied to traditional loan origination, particularly in commercial real estate, and potential M&A activity to expand its footprint. PGC's primary growth driver is the expansion of its wealth management business, which is less capital-intensive and offers higher margins. PGC has an edge in organic growth potential if it can successfully attract more high-net-worth clients, a market segment that is growing. PFS has the edge on inorganic growth through acquisitions due to its larger size and simpler business model. Given the economic sensitivity of real estate lending, PGC's fee-based growth driver appears more resilient. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: PGC, as its wealth management focus provides a clearer and potentially more profitable path to organic growth than PFS's reliance on a crowded lending market.

    Valuation metrics often reflect their different business models. PGC typically trades at a higher price-to-tangible book value (P/TBV) multiple, around 1.3x, while PFS trades closer to 1.1x. This premium for PGC is justified by its higher-margin fee income and superior credit quality. On a price-to-earnings (P/E) basis, both trade in a similar range of 9x-11x. PFS offers a more attractive dividend yield at ~5.0% versus PGC's ~3.5%. For an income-focused investor, PFS appears cheaper. For a quality-focused investor, PGC's premium might be acceptable. Overall, PFS offers better value today. Its lower P/TBV multiple and higher dividend yield provide a greater margin of safety for investors, especially when considering its larger operational scale.

    Winner: Provident Financial Services, Inc. over Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation. PFS emerges as the winner due to its superior scale, greater operational efficiency, and stronger track record of delivering shareholder returns. While PGC's wealth-focused model is commendable and results in excellent credit quality, its higher cost structure and smaller size put it at a disadvantage. PFS's efficiency ratio of ~58% compared to PGC's ~65% demonstrates a more profitable core banking operation. Furthermore, its higher dividend yield (~5.0% vs. ~3.5%) and lower valuation (1.1x P/TBV vs. 1.3x) make it a more compelling risk-adjusted investment. Although PGC has a unique growth angle, PFS's proven ability to execute its traditional banking model at scale makes it the more robust choice.

  • OceanFirst Financial Corp.

    OCFC • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT MARKET

    OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) is a prominent New Jersey-based bank that has grown significantly through acquisitions, making it a direct competitor to PGC. Like PFS, OCFC follows a more traditional community banking model than PGC, focusing on a diversified loan portfolio including commercial real estate, business, and residential mortgages. Its larger size and broader geographic footprint across New Jersey, New York, and Philadelphia present a scale challenge to PGC. The core strategic difference remains PGC's emphasis on private banking and wealth management versus OCFC's focus on being a full-service community bank for a wider range of customers.

    Regarding their business and moat, OCFC's primary advantage is its scale and market density. With total assets of ~$13.5 billion and over 50 branches, it significantly outweighs PGC's ~$6.5 billion in assets. This scale provides OCFC with better operating leverage and brand recognition across a wider territory. Both banks face high regulatory barriers and benefit from customer switching costs. PGC's moat lies in its specialized service for high-net-worth clients, a segment OCFC serves but not with the same dedicated focus. PGC's ~$10 billion in assets under administration is a unique asset OCFC cannot easily replicate. However, OCFC's larger deposit base provides a more stable and cheaper funding source. Overall Winner for Business & Moat: OceanFirst, as its substantial scale and dense branch network create a more formidable competitive position in the general banking market.

    From a financial statement perspective, OCFC's larger asset base generates significantly more net interest income. However, its Net Interest Margin (NIM) is often comparable to or slightly lower than PGC's, recently around ~3.25%, as PGC benefits from a lower cost of deposits from its wealthy clientele. OCFC has historically been very focused on efficiency, but integration costs from acquisitions can cause its efficiency ratio to fluctuate; it typically targets the 55-60% range, which is better than PGC's ~65%. In terms of profitability, OCFC's Return on Average Assets (ROAA) is often around ~0.90%, which is generally lower than PGC's target of over 1.0%, making PGC better on asset profitability. Both banks are well-capitalized, with CET1 ratios above 11%. OCFC's dividend yield is typically higher at ~4.5% compared to PGC's ~3.5%. Overall Financials Winner: OceanFirst, due to its superior efficiency and scale-driven earnings power, despite PGC's edge in asset profitability.

    An analysis of past performance shows that OCFC's growth has been heavily driven by M&A, leading to lumpy but substantial increases in its balance sheet over the past decade. Its 5-year revenue CAGR of ~6% reflects this acquisitive strategy, surpassing PGC's more organic growth rate of ~3%. This has translated into better shareholder returns, with OCFC's 5-year TSR at approximately +10% versus PGC's +5%. On the risk front, OCFC's loan book is more exposed to cyclical commercial real estate, and its non-performing loans (NPLs) have at times been higher than PGC's pristine figures, with OCFC's NPLs around 0.70% and PGC's under 0.40%. PGC wins on risk, but OCFC wins on growth and TSR. Overall Past Performance Winner: OceanFirst, because its successful M&A strategy has delivered superior growth and shareholder returns, outweighing its slightly higher risk profile.

    Looking ahead, OCFC's future growth is likely to continue to depend on successful M&A integration and finding new acquisition targets in a consolidating industry. Its organic growth potential is tied to the general economic health of its operating regions. PGC's growth path is more distinct, centered on expanding its wealth management services and attracting new private banking clients. This is a higher-margin, less capital-intensive growth avenue. While M&A can be powerful, it is also fraught with integration risk. PGC's organic strategy is slower but potentially more sustainable and profitable. PGC has the edge in its defined growth strategy. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: PGC, due to its clearer, more controllable organic growth path in the attractive wealth management segment.

    In terms of valuation, OCFC generally trades at a discount to PGC, reflecting its more traditional, credit-sensitive business model. OCFC's price-to-tangible book value (P/TBV) is often near 1.0x, whereas PGC trades at a premium around 1.3x. This suggests the market values PGC's fee income and stronger credit quality more highly. On a P/E basis, they are often similar, in the 9x-11x range. OCFC's dividend yield of ~4.5% is more attractive for income investors than PGC's ~3.5%. Given the significant discount in its P/TBV multiple combined with a higher dividend yield, OCFC presents a more compelling value proposition. The quality difference does not appear to justify the full valuation gap. Which is better value today: OceanFirst, as its valuation provides a larger margin of safety for a bank with solid scale and market position.

    Winner: OceanFirst Financial Corp. over Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation. OCFC wins this comparison based on its successful execution of a growth-by-acquisition strategy, which has created a scaled, efficient, and profitable community bank. Its superior scale (~$13.5B vs. ~$6.5B in assets), better efficiency ratio (~58% vs. ~65%), and stronger historical shareholder returns make it a more formidable operator. While PGC boasts a higher-quality loan book and a promising niche in wealth management, its valuation premium (1.3x P/TBV vs. 1.0x for OCFC) seems rich in comparison. For an investor, OCFC offers a more attractively priced entry into a proven, scaled player in the New Jersey banking market.

  • ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.

    CNOB • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT MARKET

    ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB) presents a strategic, rather than a purely geographic, competitor to PGC. Also based in New Jersey, CNOB distinguishes itself through a focus on technology, efficiency, and serving small to mid-sized businesses with a 'smarter' banking approach. While PGC emphasizes high-touch relationships and wealth management, CNOB prioritizes digital delivery, quick decision-making, and operational leanness. This makes for a fascinating comparison between two different philosophies of modern banking.

    Dissecting their business and moat, CNOB's moat is built on operational excellence and a tech-forward brand that appeals to business owners. Its reputation for speed and efficiency creates switching costs for its commercial clients who value responsiveness. With assets of ~$10 billion, CNOB has a scale advantage over PGC's ~$6.5 billion. PGC's moat, in contrast, is its deep integration with high-net-worth clients via its private banking model, fostering loyalty that is less about technology and more about personal trust. Both face high regulatory barriers. CNOB's 25+ branch network is efficient but less extensive than some peers, as it leans on digital channels. PGC's wealth management AUA of ~$10 billion is a key advantage CNOB lacks. Overall Winner for Business & Moat: ConnectOne, as its focus on efficiency and technology has created a scalable and highly profitable business model that is well-suited for the future of banking.

    Financially, CNOB is a standout performer. It consistently operates with one of the best efficiency ratios in the industry, often below 45%, which is significantly better than PGC's ~65%. This efficiency directly translates into superior profitability. CNOB's Return on Average Assets (ROAA) is frequently above 1.4%, and its Return on Average Equity (ROAE) can exceed 15%—both metrics are substantially higher than PGC's ~1.1% ROAA and ~11% ROAE. CNOB is much better on profitability and efficiency. PGC's strength is its low-cost deposit base from wealth clients, which helps its Net Interest Margin (NIM), but CNOB's overall profitability is far stronger. Both are well-capitalized with CET1 ratios over 10%. Overall Financials Winner: ConnectOne, by a wide margin, due to its industry-leading efficiency and profitability metrics.

    Historically, CNOB has demonstrated superior performance. Over the past five years, CNOB has delivered a revenue CAGR of over 10%, fueled by strong organic loan growth in its commercial niches. This far outpaces PGC's growth. This operational success has been rewarded by the market, with CNOB's 5-year TSR at +40%, dwarfing PGC's +5%. CNOB wins on growth and TSR. In terms of risk, CNOB's portfolio is heavily concentrated in commercial real estate, making it more vulnerable to economic downturns than PGC's more diversified revenue stream and pristine credit history. PGC's NPL ratio below 0.40% is typically better than CNOB's, which can be closer to 0.60%. PGC wins on risk. However, CNOB's phenomenal growth and returns are hard to ignore. Overall Past Performance Winner: ConnectOne, as its exceptional financial performance and shareholder returns have more than compensated for its higher-risk concentration.

    Looking to the future, CNOB's growth is predicated on continuing its tech-driven, efficient expansion into new markets and solidifying its position as the preferred bank for small businesses. Its scalable model gives it a significant edge. PGC's growth is tied to the much different driver of wealth management, which is a steady but slower-growing field. CNOB has demonstrated an ability to take market share through its superior service model for businesses. The demand for efficient, digitally-enabled business banking (CNOB's focus) appears stronger than the demand for traditional private banking (PGC's focus). CNOB has the edge on future market capture. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: ConnectOne, as its business model is better aligned with modern banking trends and has a proven track record of rapid, organic expansion.

    From a valuation standpoint, the market recognizes CNOB's superior quality. It typically trades at a higher P/TBV multiple than PGC, often around 1.4x-1.5x versus PGC's ~1.3x. However, given its vastly superior profitability (ROAE ~15% vs. ~11%), this premium seems more than justified. On a P/E basis, CNOB often trades at a slight discount to PGC, around 8x vs. 10x, making it appear cheaper on an earnings basis. CNOB's dividend yield of ~3.0% is slightly lower than PGC's ~3.5%. CNOB offers superior quality at a reasonable, and sometimes cheaper, price. CNOB is better value today. Its lower P/E ratio combined with far higher profitability metrics makes it a much more attractive investment on a risk-adjusted basis.

    Winner: ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. over Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation. CNOB is the decisive winner, representing a masterclass in modern, efficient banking. Its technology-first approach has produced industry-leading metrics across the board, from an efficiency ratio below 45% to a ROAE above 15%, all of which are significantly superior to PGC's performance. While PGC's private banking model provides stability and high credit quality, it cannot match the dynamic growth and profitability of CNOB. The market has recognized this, rewarding CNOB with vastly better shareholder returns (+40% vs +5% over 5 years). CNOB's model is more scalable, more profitable, and better positioned for the future, making it the clear winner.

  • Customers Bancorp, Inc.

    CUBI • NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE

    Customers Bancorp (CUBI) is a dynamic, technology-driven bank that competes with PGC not on geography, but on strategy and innovation. CUBI has a national footprint and focuses on specialty lending niches and providing banking-as-a-service (BaaS) solutions to fintech partners, most notably through its former digital asset business. This business model is worlds apart from PGC's relationship-based, geographically-focused private banking. The comparison highlights the stark contrast between a traditional, high-touch model and a modern, high-tech, national banking platform.

    In terms of business and moat, CUBI's moat is derived from its technological infrastructure, specialized lending expertise, and its network effects within the BaaS ecosystem. Its ability to onboard and service fintech clients at scale is a significant competitive advantage. PGC's moat is its sticky, high-net-worth client base cultivated through decades of relationship building. CUBI's scale is much larger, with assets of ~$22 billion compared to PGC's ~$6.5 billion. CUBI's brand is known for innovation among businesses and fintechs, while PGC's is a mark of prestige in its local communities. Regulatory barriers are high for both, but CUBI's model attracts additional scrutiny due to its novelty. Overall Winner for Business & Moat: Customers Bancorp, as its tech-driven, scalable model and BaaS platform represent a more forward-looking and difficult-to-replicate moat.

    Financially, CUBI's performance is characterized by high growth and high profitability, but also higher volatility. CUBI has generated explosive revenue growth in recent years, with a 3-year CAGR exceeding 20% at times, far surpassing PGC. Its efficiency ratio is excellent, often below 45%, demonstrating the scalability of its tech platform; this is much better than PGC's ~65%. CUBI's profitability is also top-tier, with ROAA often above 1.5% and ROAE over 18%, metrics PGC cannot match. CUBI is better on all key performance metrics. However, CUBI's balance sheet has higher-risk loan concentrations in specialty areas. PGC has a more stable, lower-cost deposit base and pristine credit quality. Overall Financials Winner: Customers Bancorp, as its phenomenal growth and profitability metrics are in a different league, even when accounting for its higher-risk profile.

    Reviewing past performance, CUBI has been a star performer. Its stock has delivered a 5-year TSR of over +100%, reflecting its success in carving out high-growth niches. This completely overshadows PGC's modest +5% return over the same period. CUBI's earnings growth has been equally impressive. The primary risk has been volatility; CUBI's stock experienced a significant drawdown when sentiment turned on digital assets, highlighting its sensitivity to specific market trends. PGC offers stability, with a low beta and minimal drawdowns. CUBI wins on TSR and growth; PGC wins on risk and stability. Overall Past Performance Winner: Customers Bancorp, as its explosive shareholder returns have more than compensated for the accompanying volatility, delivering massive outperformance.

    For future growth, CUBI has numerous levers to pull. Its growth drivers include expanding its specialty lending verticals (e.g., lender finance, healthcare), growing its BaaS partnerships, and leveraging its technology to enter new markets efficiently. This contrasts with PGC's more measured growth plan of slowly expanding its wealth management footprint. CUBI's addressable market is national and its model is highly scalable, giving it a massive edge. Consensus estimates for CUBI's EPS growth are typically in the double digits, far ahead of expectations for PGC. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Customers Bancorp, as its innovative business model provides multiple avenues for rapid and scalable growth that PGC cannot replicate.

    On valuation, CUBI often trades at a very low P/E ratio, sometimes below 6x, reflecting market skepticism about the sustainability of its growth and its perceived risk profile. PGC trades at a higher P/E of ~10x. On a P/TBV basis, both can trade in a similar 1.2x-1.4x range, but CUBI's much higher ROAE of ~18%+ makes its valuation far more compelling. A company with CUBI's profitability and growth should arguably trade at a significant premium, not a discount on earnings. CUBI offers superior quality at a lower price. It does not pay a dividend, focusing on reinvesting capital for growth, which contrasts with PGC's income-oriented approach. CUBI is a much better value today. Its combination of elite profitability and a low P/E ratio presents a rare opportunity for value and growth investors.

    Winner: Customers Bancorp, Inc. over Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation. CUBI is the unambiguous winner. It represents a superior business model that is more scalable, more profitable, and has a significantly larger growth runway. CUBI's financial metrics are elite, with an efficiency ratio under 45% and an ROAE above 18%, figures that PGC cannot approach. This has translated into staggering outperformance for shareholders. While PGC offers stability and a safe dividend, it is a slow-growing bank in a mature market. CUBI, despite its higher volatility, offers investors exposure to the future of banking at a compellingly low valuation. For investors seeking capital appreciation, CUBI is the far more attractive choice.

  • Lakeland Bancorp, Inc.

    LBAI • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT MARKET

    Lakeland Bancorp (LBAI) is another direct, New Jersey-based competitor to PGC, but it serves as a cautionary example of the challenges facing traditional community banks. Like PGC, it has a long history in the state, but it has recently struggled with performance, making it a useful benchmark to highlight PGC's relative strengths. LBAI operates a conventional lending-focused model without PGC's significant wealth management component, making its earnings more sensitive to credit quality and interest rate cycles.

    Analyzing business and moat, LBAI's moat is its established community presence and branch network (~50 branches) in northern New Jersey. Its brand is well-known locally. However, this moat has proven to be less effective recently. With assets of ~$10 billion, LBAI has a scale advantage over PGC's ~$6.5 billion. Both benefit from regulatory barriers and customer inertia. PGC's distinguishing factor is its ~$10 billion AUA in its wealth division, which provides a source of stable, high-margin fee income that LBAI lacks. This diversification is a key strategic advantage for PGC. Overall Winner for Business & Moat: Peapack-Gladstone, as its integrated wealth management business provides a valuable and differentiating moat that the more generic LBAI model is missing.

    Financially, LBAI's recent performance has been weak. It has faced credit quality issues, leading to higher provisions for loan losses. Its Net Interest Margin (NIM) has been under pressure, recently falling below 3.0%. PGC's NIM has been more resilient at ~3.3%, thanks to its low-cost deposit base, making PGC better. LBAI's efficiency ratio has also trended upwards, often exceeding 60%, comparable to PGC's ~65%, but without the justification of a high-cost private banking service. Most notably, LBAI's profitability has suffered, with ROAA recently falling below 0.70% and ROAE to ~7%, both significantly weaker than PGC's ~1.1% ROAA and ~11% ROAE. PGC is much better on profitability. Overall Financials Winner: Peapack-Gladstone, which demonstrates substantially stronger profitability and a more resilient financial profile than the struggling LBAI.

    Past performance tells a clear story of divergence. Over the last five years, LBAI's financial metrics have deteriorated, culminating in weaker earnings. This has been reflected in its stock price. LBAI's 5-year TSR is negative, at approximately -25%, including dividends. This is a very poor result compared to PGC's positive +5% TSR. LBAI's revenue and EPS growth have been stagnant or negative, while PGC has managed modest growth. LBAI wins on nothing here. On risk, LBAI's non-performing loans have risen to over 1.0% of total loans, a red flag for a community bank and well above PGC's sub-0.40% level. PGC wins on growth, TSR, and risk management. Overall Past Performance Winner: Peapack-Gladstone, by a landslide, as it has delivered stability and positive returns while LBAI has seen significant deterioration and value destruction for shareholders.

    Looking to the future, LBAI's primary task is stabilization and recovery. Its growth prospects are muted until it can resolve its credit issues and improve core profitability. Its path forward involves cost-cutting and de-risking its loan portfolio, not expansion. PGC, on the other hand, has a clear growth strategy centered on its wealth management division. PGC is playing offense while LBAI is playing defense. PGC's ability to grow fee income provides a significant advantage in the current economic environment. PGC has the edge on every future growth driver. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Peapack-Gladstone, as it is a healthy institution with a defined growth plan, whereas LBAI is in a turnaround situation with a highly uncertain future.

    In valuation, LBAI trades at a significant discount, reflecting its poor performance and high risk. Its P/TBV multiple is often below 0.9x, while its P/E ratio is elevated due to depressed earnings. PGC's 1.3x P/TBV and 10x P/E multiples are much higher. LBAI offers a high dividend yield of over 6%, but the sustainability of this dividend could be questioned if profitability does not recover. This is a classic value trap scenario: it looks cheap for a reason. PGC's premium valuation is supported by its superior quality and stability. PGC is better value today on a risk-adjusted basis. LBAI's discount is not sufficient to compensate for its fundamental problems.

    Winner: Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation over Lakeland Bancorp, Inc. PGC is the clear and decisive winner in this matchup. It stands as an example of a well-managed bank with a sound strategy, while LBAI showcases the risks inherent in traditional banking when execution falters. PGC's superior profitability (~1.1% ROAA vs. LBAI's ~0.7%), pristine credit quality (<0.40% NPLs vs. LBAI's >1.0%), and diversified revenue stream from wealth management make it a much higher-quality institution. This quality has resulted in positive shareholder returns over five years, while LBAI investors have suffered significant losses. Although LBAI is cheaper on paper, its operational and credit issues make it a far riskier investment. PGC's stability and consistent execution make it the superior choice.

  • Valley National Bancorp

    VLY • NASDAQ GLOBAL SELECT MARKET

    Valley National Bancorp (VLY) is a super-regional bank and a giant compared to PGC, serving as an aspirational competitor. With operations spanning New Jersey, New York, Florida, and other states, VLY's scale and diversification dwarf PGC's concentrated, boutique model. The comparison is less about direct competition and more about illustrating the vast differences in strategy, risk, and opportunity between a large, acquisitive regional bank and a small, niche-focused one.

    From a business and moat perspective, VLY's primary moat is its massive scale. With total assets exceeding ~$60 billion, it benefits from significant economies of scale, a highly diversified loan portfolio, and a strong brand presence across multiple high-growth markets. PGC's ~$6.5 billion in assets makes it a fraction of VLY's size. VLY's extensive branch network (over 200 branches) and commercial lending platform create a formidable competitive barrier. PGC's only countervailing moat is the depth of its relationships in the private banking niche, an area where VLY offers services but lacks PGC's singular focus. VLY's diversification across geographies and loan types makes it far more resilient to localized economic shocks. Overall Winner for Business & Moat: Valley National, as its immense scale and geographic diversification create a much wider and deeper moat.

    Financially, VLY's scale allows it to operate with good efficiency, typically maintaining an efficiency ratio in the low 50% range, which is significantly better than PGC's ~65%. This efficiency helps drive strong profits. VLY's profitability is solid, with ROAA usually around 1.0%, which is slightly lower than PGC's target but impressive for its size. VLY is better on efficiency. PGC often has a slightly better Net Interest Margin (NIM) due to its lower-cost deposits, but VLY's sheer volume of interest-earning assets generates vastly more income. Both banks are well-capitalized, with VLY's CET1 ratio comfortably above 10%. VLY also offers an attractive dividend, with a yield often exceeding 5%. Overall Financials Winner: Valley National, as its combination of scale, efficiency, and geographic diversification produces a more powerful and resilient financial engine.

    Looking at past performance, VLY has a long history of growth through strategic acquisitions, including its major purchase of Bank Leumi. This has fueled a 5-year revenue CAGR of nearly 15%, far outpacing PGC's slower organic growth. However, this aggressive M&A strategy has not always translated into superior shareholder returns. VLY's 5-year TSR has been roughly flat to slightly negative, underperforming PGC's +5% return, as the market has been wary of integration risks and its exposure to commercial real estate. VLY wins on growth. On risk, VLY's diversification is a major strength, but its large commercial real estate book is a key concern for investors. PGC's risk profile is lower due to its pristine credit quality and less economically sensitive fee income. PGC wins on TSR and risk. Overall Past Performance Winner: Peapack-Gladstone, surprisingly, as its stable, if slow, model has protected shareholder value better than VLY's high-growth, high-integration-risk strategy over the last five years.

    For future growth, VLY's strategy is clear: continue to grow and diversify through acquisitions and organic expansion in high-growth markets like Florida. Its size gives it the capacity to pursue large, transformative deals that are unavailable to PGC. PGC's growth is more limited and focused on the competitive wealth management space. VLY has a significant edge in its ability to deploy capital for growth across a national platform. The potential for VLY to gain market share and improve efficiency post-integration is substantial. Overall Growth Outlook Winner: Valley National, as its scale provides it with far more opportunities for both organic and inorganic growth in diverse, attractive markets.

    Valuation-wise, VLY often trades at a steep discount due to investor concerns about its commercial real estate exposure and M&A integration. Its P/TBV multiple can be as low as 0.8x, and its P/E ratio is often in the 7x-8x range. This is significantly cheaper than PGC's 1.3x P/TBV and 10x P/E. VLY's high dividend yield of ~5.5% is also very attractive. VLY represents a deep value play. The market is pricing in significant risk, but if those risks do not materialize, the upside is substantial. PGC is a high-quality, stable company at a fair price. VLY is a potentially undervalued company with higher perceived risk. VLY is better value today, as its deep discount appears to overstate the risks relative to its powerful franchise and earnings potential.

    Winner: Valley National Bancorp over Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation. While PGC has delivered better risk-adjusted returns recently, VLY stands as the long-term winner due to its commanding scale, diversification, and superior growth potential. Its ~$60B asset base and multi-state footprint create a durable franchise that PGC cannot match. VLY's superior efficiency (~52% vs ~65%) and deep value valuation (0.8x P/TBV vs 1.3x) present a compelling investment case, assuming management successfully navigates the current credit environment. PGC is a well-run, high-quality niche bank, but it operates on a much smaller and less dynamic stage. VLY's strategic advantages and valuation discount make it the more attractive opportunity for long-term investors.

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Detailed Analysis

Does Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation Have a Strong Business Model and Competitive Moat?

2/5

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation operates a distinct business model focused on integrating commercial banking with private wealth management, primarily serving businesses and high-net-worth individuals in New Jersey. Its key strength is its wealth management arm, which generates significant and stable fee income, creating a strong moat through sticky client relationships. However, this focused strategy leads to weaknesses in its traditional banking operations, including a concentrated, high-cost deposit base and a loan portfolio heavily skewed towards commercial real estate. The investor takeaway is mixed; while the private banking niche is a powerful differentiator, the company's funding and credit concentration risks cannot be overlooked.

  • Fee Income Balance

    Pass

    The bank's successful wealth management division generates an exceptionally high level of stable, recurring fee income, providing a strong competitive advantage and revenue stability.

    This is Peapack-Gladstone's most significant strength and a core part of its moat. The bank derives approximately 31% of its total revenue from noninterest (fee) income, a figure that is substantially above the regional bank average, which typically hovers around 20-25%. The vast majority of this fee income comes from its Peapack Private wealth management business, which provides a steady and reliable stream of revenue from asset management and trust fees. In its most recent reported quarter, wealth management fees alone were over $12 million. This strong contribution from a non-lending source makes the bank's overall revenue profile far less sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates, which can cause volatility in the net interest income of traditional banks. This successful diversification is a clear differentiator and a key reason for investors to be interested in the stock.

  • Deposit Customer Mix

    Fail

    The bank's strategic focus on commercial and high-net-worth clients results in a highly concentrated deposit base, lacking the diversification and stability of a broad retail customer mix.

    Peapack-Gladstone's business model inherently leads to poor deposit customer diversification. Instead of a broad base of small, insured retail accounts, the bank's deposits are concentrated among a smaller number of commercial entities and wealthy individuals. This concentration is a strategic choice to support its private banking model, but it creates risk. The bank does not heavily rely on brokered deposits, which is a positive, but the core issue is the lack of granularity. A bank with millions of small checking accounts is far more insulated from the risk of a few large customers leaving than PGC is. This concentration means its funding levels can be more volatile and are highly dependent on the economic health and sentiment of its specific, narrow client base in New Jersey.

  • Niche Lending Focus

    Pass

    Peapack-Gladstone has built a strong, focused lending franchise by targeting business owners and real estate investors in its New Jersey market, leveraging its private banking service model as its key differentiator.

    While not a niche lender in a traditional sense like an agricultural or SBA-focused bank, Peapack-Gladstone has carved out a distinct and successful niche serving the financial needs of closely-held businesses, their owners, and other high-net-worth individuals. Its expertise lies in structuring complex credit for its target clients, primarily in the form of Commercial & Industrial (C&I) and Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans. The bank's loan portfolio is heavily concentrated in these areas, with C&I and CRE loans making up over 80% of its book. This focus allows its bankers to develop deep expertise and strong local relationships. The bank's ability to integrate lending with its wealth management services creates a holistic value proposition that attracts and retains its target clientele, demonstrating a well-defined and defensible market position.

  • Local Deposit Stickiness

    Fail

    The bank's deposit base suffers from a declining share of low-cost funds and a high percentage of uninsured deposits, making its funding more expensive and less stable than peers.

    Peapack-Gladstone's funding base shows signs of weakness. Its percentage of noninterest-bearing deposits, the cheapest source of funding for a bank, fell to 18% of total deposits in the most recent quarter, down from over 25% in prior years and below the typical regional bank average. Consequently, its cost of total deposits has risen sharply to 2.91%, reflecting its reliance on rate-sensitive commercial and high-net-worth clients who demand higher yields. Furthermore, a significant portion of its deposits, estimated to be around 45%, are uninsured. This level of uninsured deposits is above the sub-industry average and exposes the bank to a higher risk of deposit outflows during periods of market stress. While its private banking relationships provide some stability, the underlying metrics point to a high-cost, less-sticky deposit base compared to banks with a more granular retail focus.

  • Branch Network Advantage

    Fail

    Peapack-Gladstone maintains a small, optimized branch network that reflects its private banking focus, leading to high deposits per branch but lacking the scale or competitive advantage of a traditional, dense retail network.

    Peapack-Gladstone's physical footprint is not a source of competitive advantage. With only 21 branches, almost exclusively in New Jersey, its network is small and does not provide significant economies of scale. However, its strategy is not to compete on branch density but to use its locations as hubs for its high-touch, private banking service model. This approach results in very high efficiency per location, with deposits per branch standing at approximately $280 million, which is significantly above the average for many community banks. This indicates that the bank successfully attracts large accounts from its business and wealthy clients. The company has been rationalizing its network, closing branches that don't fit its modern service model. While this optimization is prudent, the limited scale means the branch network itself does not create a moat; rather, it's the specialized service delivered within those branches that matters.

How Strong Are Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation's Financial Statements?

3/5

Peapack-Gladstone's recent financial statements show a mixed picture. The bank demonstrates strong growth in its core interest income, with Net Interest Income rising over 34% year-over-year in the latest quarter. However, this strength is offset by significant weaknesses, including a high efficiency ratio of 74% which suggests high operating costs, and modest profitability with a Return on Assets of just 0.53%. While the balance sheet appears stable, the bank's high costs are a concern. The overall investor takeaway is mixed, as strong revenue growth is being held back by operational inefficiency.

  • Capital and Liquidity Strength

    Pass

    The bank maintains adequate capital levels and a healthy loan-to-deposit ratio, suggesting a solid foundation to absorb potential shocks.

    Peapack-Gladstone's capital and liquidity position appears sound. The Tangible Common Equity to Total Assets ratio, a key measure of a bank's ability to absorb losses, was 8.04% ($598.44M in equity / $7440M in assets) in the most recent quarter. This is generally considered in line with the 8-10% benchmark for well-capitalized regional banks, providing a reasonable cushion. While specific figures for CET1 and uninsured deposits are not available, the existing capital level provides a degree of confidence.

    On the liquidity front, the bank's loans-to-deposits ratio stood at a healthy 90.8% in Q3 2025 ($5959M in net loans / $6562M in deposits). A ratio below 100% is favorable as it indicates that the bank is funding its loans primarily with core customer deposits, which are typically more stable and lower-cost than other forms of funding. This reduces reliance on more volatile wholesale markets and strengthens the bank's liquidity profile. Overall, these metrics point to a stable capital and funding base.

  • Credit Loss Readiness

    Pass

    The bank is actively setting aside funds for potential loan losses, and its reserve levels appear reasonable compared to its total loan portfolio.

    While key metrics like net charge-offs and nonperforming loans are not provided, an analysis of the bank's loan loss provisions and allowances suggests a proactive approach to credit risk. In the third quarter of 2025, the bank set aside $4.79 million as a provision for credit losses, following a $6.59 million provision in the prior quarter. These actions build up the bank's reserves to cover potential future defaults.

    As of Q3 2025, the bank's total Allowance for Loan Losses was $68.64 million against a gross loan portfolio of $6027 million. This results in a reserve coverage ratio of 1.14%, which is in line with the industry average benchmark of around 1.25%. This indicates the bank is maintaining a level of reserves consistent with its peers to protect against potential credit deterioration. Although the absence of data on actual loan performance (like delinquencies) is a limitation, the current reserve level appears adequate for the size of its loan book.

  • Interest Rate Sensitivity

    Fail

    The bank's tangible equity has taken a hit from unrealized losses on its securities portfolio, making it vulnerable to continued interest rate volatility.

    Peapack-Gladstone shows signs of sensitivity to interest rate changes, primarily through its investment portfolio. While direct data on unrealized losses is not provided, the 'Comprehensive Income and Other' line on the balance sheet was a negative -$55.58 million in Q2 2025 and -$66.41 million at the end of fiscal year 2024. This has a direct negative impact on the bank's tangible common equity, which stood at 585.39 million in Q2 2025. The negative comprehensive income represents about 9.5% of the tangible equity, which is a meaningful reduction and highlights the risk that rising rates pose to the bank's capital base.

    This exposure stems from the bank's large holdings of investment securities, totaling $867.4 million as of Q3 2025. When rates rise, the market value of existing, lower-yielding bonds falls, creating these paper losses. While these losses are only realized if the securities are sold, they reduce the bank's regulatory capital flexibility and can impact investor sentiment. Given this tangible impact on book value, the bank's management of its asset and liability repricing appears to be a point of weakness.

  • Net Interest Margin Quality

    Pass

    The bank is demonstrating impressive growth in its net interest income, signaling strong performance in its core lending and deposit-gathering business.

    The bank's ability to generate core earnings from its lending operations is a clear strength. Net Interest Income (NII), the difference between what the bank earns on loans and pays on deposits, has shown very strong growth. In Q3 2025, NII grew 34.21% year-over-year to reach $50.57 million, and in Q2 2025, it grew 37.81%. This robust growth is significantly above average and suggests the bank has effectively managed its assets and liabilities to benefit from the prevailing interest rate environment, likely by repricing its loans at higher rates faster than its deposit costs have increased.

    Breaking down the numbers for Q3 2025, the bank generated $92.55 million in total interest income while paying out $41.97 million in interest expense. This resulted in a healthy spread and contributed directly to the strong NII figure. While the Net Interest Margin (NIM) percentage is not provided, the powerful year-over-year growth in NII is a strong positive indicator of the health and profitability of the bank's fundamental business model.

  • Efficiency Ratio Discipline

    Fail

    The bank's efficiency ratio is very high, indicating that its operating costs are excessive relative to its revenue and are a significant drag on profitability.

    Peapack-Gladstone's cost control is a major area of weakness, as highlighted by its high efficiency ratio. In the third quarter of 2025, the ratio was 74.0% ($52.3M in noninterest expense / $70.69M in revenue), and it has consistently been in the mid-70s. This is significantly weaker than the industry benchmark, where strong-performing banks typically have efficiency ratios below 60%. A ratio this high means the bank is spending too much on overhead, such as salaries and occupancy, to generate its income, which directly hurts its bottom line.

    The primary driver of this high expense base is salaries and employee benefits, which accounted for 70% ($36.76M out of $52.3M) of total noninterest expenses in the latest quarter. While investment in talent is necessary, this level of expense relative to revenue suggests a potential imbalance. This lack of efficiency is a critical issue for investors, as it prevents the bank's strong revenue growth from translating into strong profit growth.

How Has Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation Performed Historically?

2/5

Peapack-Gladstone's past performance presents a mixed picture for investors. The bank has successfully grown its loans and deposits, with total deposits increasing from $4.8 billion to $6.1 billion between 2020 and 2024, and has maintained excellent credit quality. However, this growth has not translated into consistent profits, as earnings per share (EPS) have been extremely volatile, peaking at $4.09 in 2022 before falling sharply to $1.87 by 2024. While dividends are stable, they haven't grown in five years, and shareholder returns have lagged behind more efficient and profitable competitors. The overall takeaway is mixed, reflecting a stable but underperforming institution.

  • Loans and Deposits History

    Pass

    The bank has achieved steady and impressive growth in both its loan portfolio and deposit base over the last five years, indicating successful market penetration and client acquisition.

    Peapack-Gladstone has demonstrated a strong track record of growing its core business. From fiscal year-end 2020 to 2024, gross loans grew from $4.4 billion to $5.5 billion, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.9%. Over the same period, total deposits grew from $4.8 billion to $6.1 billion, for a CAGR of 6.2%. This consistent mid-single-digit growth is a sign of a healthy, expanding franchise.

    Importantly, this growth appears to have been managed prudently. The loan-to-deposit ratio remained stable, moving from 90.7% in 2020 to 90.0% in 2024, which indicates the bank is not taking on excessive risk by funding loan growth with less stable borrowings. This consistent ability to grow both sides of the balance sheet is a fundamental strength and a clear highlight of its past performance.

  • NIM and Efficiency Trends

    Fail

    The bank's high and deteriorating efficiency ratio, combined with a Net Interest Margin (NIM) that has been vulnerable to rising interest rates, reveals significant weaknesses in cost control and profitability management.

    Over the past several years, Peapack-Gladstone's operational performance has been poor. Its Net Interest Margin, the difference between what it earns on loans and pays on deposits, proved highly vulnerable. As interest rates rose, the bank's interest expense on deposits exploded from $29 million in 2022 to $168 million in 2024, causing its Net Interest Income to fall from $176 million to $149 million in the same period, despite having a larger loan book. This shows weak pricing power on the deposit side.

    Even more concerning is the bank's efficiency ratio, which measures non-interest expenses as a percentage of revenue. While it was a respectable 55% in 2022, it ballooned to a very poor 77% by 2024. This indicates that costs are high and have been growing faster than revenue. This level of inefficiency is far worse than competitors like ConnectOne Bancorp (<45%) or Valley National (~52%) and directly hurts the bottom line.

  • EPS Growth Track

    Fail

    Earnings per share (EPS) have been extremely volatile over the last five years, with a strong peak in 2022 followed by two years of sharp declines, indicating a lack of consistent earnings power.

    The company's earnings track record is a significant concern. After a recovery from the pandemic, EPS surged to a peak of $4.09 in 2022. However, this success was short-lived, as EPS collapsed over the next two years, falling to $2.74 in 2023 and then to $1.87 in 2024. This represents a two-year decline of over 54% from its peak. This 'boom and bust' cycle makes it difficult for investors to rely on the company's earnings power.

    This volatility is also reflected in the bank's Return on Equity (ROE), which followed the same pattern, peaking at a strong 13.76% in 2022 before plummeting to a weak 5.55% in 2024. While some fluctuation is normal for banks, the magnitude of these swings is much greater than that of top-performing peers like ConnectOne. This erratic performance suggests the business model is highly sensitive to external factors like interest rates and lacks defensive characteristics.

  • Credit Metrics Stability

    Pass

    The bank's history of exceptionally strong credit quality and low loan losses is a key pillar of its performance, reflecting disciplined underwriting and a lower-risk client base.

    Peapack-Gladstone's management of credit risk has been a standout success. As noted in comparisons with competitors, the bank's ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) has consistently been better than its peers, often remaining below 0.40% of total loans. This is superior to competitors like PFS (~0.60%) and Lakeland Bancorp, which has seen its NPLs rise above 1.0%. This reflects a conservative lending culture, likely aided by its focus on high-net-worth individuals and established businesses.

    The bank has also appropriately set aside funds for potential losses. Its allowance for loan losses has grown from $67.3 million in 2020 to $73.0 million in 2024, keeping pace with the growth in its loan portfolio. This historical stability and discipline in lending provide a strong foundation of safety for the bank, even when profitability has wavered.

  • Dividends and Buybacks Record

    Fail

    The company provides a reliable dividend and actively repurchases shares, but the complete lack of dividend growth over the past five years is a significant weakness.

    Peapack-Gladstone has a mixed record on capital returns. On the positive side, it has consistently paid a dividend of $0.20 per share annually since 2020 and has used free cash flow to buy back stock, reducing its total shares outstanding from 18.0 million to 17.5 million over the last five years. These buybacks show a commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

    However, the dividend has been completely stagnant, showing zero growth over the period. A flat dividend signals a lack of confidence in future earnings growth or a very conservative capital policy. Furthermore, the bank's dividend yield is often lower than peers like Provident Financial or OceanFirst. The dividend payout ratio is very low, ranging from just 4.9% in 2022 to 10.7% in 2024, which means the dividend is extremely safe but also suggests the company could easily afford to increase it. The lack of any dividend increase is a clear negative for income-focused investors.

What Are Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation's Future Growth Prospects?

1/5

Peapack-Gladstone's future growth hinges almost entirely on its successful private wealth management division, which is expected to continue growing assets under management and generating stable fee income. However, this strength is severely hampered by headwinds in its traditional banking operations, including a high-cost deposit base that will likely keep net interest margins compressed. The bank faces sluggish loan growth prospects, particularly given its concentration in the challenged commercial real estate sector. The investor takeaway is mixed; while the fee income story provides a unique and attractive growth angle compared to peers, significant risks in its core lending and funding model cast a shadow over its overall earnings potential for the next 3-5 years.

  • Loan Growth Outlook

    Fail

    The bank's loan growth outlook is weak, constrained by a challenging economic environment for its core commercial real estate portfolio and a lack of explicit, optimistic guidance from management.

    Management has guided towards muted loan growth, reflecting the broader slowdown in the commercial lending market. The bank's loan portfolio grew by less than 1% in the most recent quarter, and there is little to suggest an acceleration is imminent. Its heavy concentration in commercial real estate, a sector facing secular headwinds from remote work and cyclical pressure from high interest rates, puts a cap on potential growth. The bank has not provided specific dollar-value targets for future loan originations or highlighted a robust pipeline that would point to a re-acceleration. Without a clear catalyst or management guidance indicating a stronger trajectory, the loan portfolio is expected to be a source of stability at best, not a significant contributor to future earnings growth.

  • Capital and M&A Plans

    Fail

    With solid capital levels, the bank has the capacity for strategic moves, but it has not articulated a clear M&A strategy or initiated significant buybacks, indicating a conservative and passive approach to capital deployment.

    Peapack-Gladstone maintains a strong capital position, with a Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio comfortably above regulatory requirements. This provides the financial flexibility for acquisitions or capital returns. However, management has not signaled any impending M&A activity, either as a buyer or seller, nor has it pursued an aggressive share repurchase program. In a consolidating industry, this passive stance on capital deployment means the bank is foregoing opportunities to grow earnings per share and tangible book value through strategic transactions. While caution can be prudent, the absence of a clear plan to leverage its strong capital base for growth suggests a lack of catalysts from this important value-creation lever. This conservative approach fails to present a compelling case for future growth through capital allocation.

  • Branch and Digital Plans

    Fail

    The bank's focus is on optimizing its small branch network for its high-net-worth clientele, but it lacks a clear, aggressive digital growth strategy or announced cost-saving targets to drive future efficiency gains.

    Peapack-Gladstone operates a lean network of just 21 branches, which is appropriate for its boutique, high-touch service model. While this leads to high deposits per branch, it is not a scalable growth engine. The bank has not announced any significant plans for branch consolidation or expansion, nor has it provided specific targets for cost savings or digital user growth. The strategy appears to be one of maintenance and incremental improvement rather than a transformational initiative to boost efficiency or reach. In an era where digital capabilities are paramount for attracting and retaining clients, especially in the wealth management space, the lack of clear, forward-looking public targets suggests this is not a primary focus for driving shareholder value over the next few years. Therefore, it fails as a distinct future growth driver.

  • NIM Outlook and Repricing

    Fail

    Persistent pressure from a high-cost, rate-sensitive deposit base is expected to keep the bank's net interest margin (NIM) compressed, limiting a key source of profitability.

    The bank's net interest margin has been under significant pressure, compressing to below 2.50% in the most recent quarter. Management's outlook does not suggest a rapid recovery. The core issue is structural: PGC's funding base is heavily reliant on commercial and high-net-worth deposits that are expensive and quick to reprice higher as interest rates rise. The bank's cost of deposits has climbed sharply, and with limited ability to reprice assets higher in a slow loan growth environment, further NIM compression or stagnation is more likely than expansion. This fundamental weakness in its funding model directly caps its earnings power from traditional lending activities and presents a major headwind to future growth.

  • Fee Income Growth Drivers

    Pass

    The bank's explicit strategy to grow its private wealth management division is its most credible growth driver, providing a clear path to expanding high-quality, recurring fee income.

    This is the company's standout strength. Management consistently emphasizes the growth of its Peapack Private wealth management business as a core strategic priority. This division already generates over 30% of the bank's total revenue, a very high ratio for its peer group. The bank's plans focus on recruiting top-tier financial advisors and leveraging its integrated banking model to attract new high-net-worth clients. While specific AUM growth targets are not always provided, the strategy is clear and has a proven track record of success. Given the favorable demographic trends of wealth transfer, this focus provides a tangible and believable pathway to grow a stable, high-margin revenue stream that is not dependent on interest rates, justifying a pass.

Is Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation Fairly Valued?

3/5

Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation (PGC) appears undervalued based on key banking metrics. The stock trades at a significant discount to its tangible book value, with a Price-to-Tangible-Book ratio of just 0.76x. Furthermore, its forward P/E ratio of 9.07 suggests strong future earnings growth is not fully reflected in the current price. While the dividend yield is low, the deep discount to its net asset value presents a compelling case. The overall takeaway is positive for long-term value investors.

  • Price to Tangible Book

    Pass

    The stock trades at a significant ~24% discount to its tangible book value per share, a primary indicator of undervaluation for a profitable bank.

    Price to Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) is the most critical valuation metric for a bank, as it compares the company's market price to its net asset value, excluding intangible assets like goodwill. PGC's tangible book value per share was $34.37 at the end of Q3 2025. With the stock priced at $26.25, its P/TBV ratio is approximately 0.76x. A P/TBV ratio below 1.0x for a bank that is generating a profit (PGC's Return on Equity is 6.06%) is a strong signal that the stock may be undervalued. This metric suggests investors can buy the bank's assets for 76 cents on the dollar, providing a margin of safety. This clear discount justifies a "Pass".

  • ROE to P/B Alignment

    Fail

    The company's Price-to-Book ratio of 0.74x is reasonably aligned with its current Return on Equity of 6.06%, suggesting the valuation is fair for its level of profitability but not deeply mispriced on this basis.

    Higher-profitability banks (those with high Return on Equity) should command higher Price-to-Book (P/B) multiples. PGC's current ROE is 6.06% and its P/B ratio is 0.74x. A common rule of thumb suggests that a bank's P/B ratio should approximate its ROE divided by its cost of equity (typically 8-10%). Using this, a 6% ROE would justify a P/B ratio in the 0.6x-0.75x range. PGC's valuation falls within this expected range. Therefore, while the P/B ratio is low in absolute terms, it is not misaligned with the bank's current profitability. The stock isn't being unduly punished for its performance, but its profitability isn't high enough to demand a premium valuation. This alignment doesn't signal undervaluation, leading to a "Fail".

  • P/E and Growth Check

    Pass

    The stock's forward P/E ratio of 9.07 is attractive, signaling that strong anticipated earnings growth is available at a reasonable price.

    PGC's TTM P/E ratio stands at 14.18, which is slightly higher than the peer average for regional banks of around 11.7x. However, the forward P/E ratio, based on next twelve months' earnings estimates, is a much lower 9.07. This significant drop implies that analysts expect earnings per share (EPS) to grow substantially. Analyst forecasts project annual earnings growth of over 35%, well above the industry average. This combination of a low forward P/E and high expected EPS growth is a classic sign of potential undervaluation, making it a "Pass".

  • Income and Buyback Yield

    Fail

    The company's direct capital return to shareholders is low, with a modest dividend yield and inconsistent share buybacks.

    Peapack-Gladstone's dividend yield of 0.73% is low compared to the average for regional banks, which is often in the 3% range. While the dividend is very safe, as evidenced by a low payout ratio of 10.37%, it doesn't provide significant income for investors. Capital returns through buybacks appear inconsistent. While the company bought back a small number of shares in Q3 2025 (-0.07% change in shares outstanding), the most recent data shows a slight dilution over the trailing twelve months. A strong capital return program supports a stock's price, and PGC's current program is not a compelling reason to invest on its own, leading to a "Fail" rating for this factor.

  • Relative Valuation Snapshot

    Pass

    Compared to industry peers, PGC is attractively valued on an asset basis (P/TBV) and its stock price has underperformed, suggesting a potential rebound opportunity.

    On a relative basis, PGC's valuation is compelling. Its P/TBV of ~0.76x is well below the regional bank average, which tends to be 1.1x or higher. While its TTM P/E of 14.18 is slightly above the industry average of ~11.7x, its forward P/E of 9.07 is favorable. The dividend yield of 0.73% is a weak point, lagging peers significantly. The stock is also trading near its 52-week low ($23.96), indicating poor recent market sentiment but also creating the potential for a value investment if the fundamentals hold up. The low P/TBV is the dominant factor here, signaling a clear discount relative to the sector, warranting a "Pass".

Detailed Future Risks

The primary macroeconomic risk for Peapack-Gladstone is the persistence of high interest rates and the potential for an economic slowdown. While higher rates can boost income from loans, they also significantly increase the bank's funding costs as it must pay more for deposits. This dynamic squeezes the Net Interest Margin (NIM), a key measure of a bank's core profitability. Furthermore, as a regional bank, PGC's success is directly linked to the economic health of its core markets in New Jersey and New York. A recession would heighten credit risk, leading to a potential increase in loan defaults and charge-offs, which would directly impact earnings.

A significant industry-specific risk is the bank's substantial concentration in Commercial Real Estate (CRE) loans. The CRE sector, particularly office and to a lesser extent retail properties, faces structural headwinds from the rise of remote work and e-commerce, leading to higher vacancy rates and declining property values. A prolonged downturn in this sector could force the bank to set aside larger provisions for credit losses, eroding its capital base. Compounding this is the fierce competitive landscape. PGC competes against national giants with massive technology budgets and marketing scale, as well as other community banks and nimble fintechs, making the battle for low-cost deposits and quality loan customers a constant challenge.

Looking forward, regulatory and operational risks are becoming more pronounced. Following the regional bank failures in 2023, regulators are increasing their scrutiny on liquidity and capital adequacy for banks of all sizes. This will likely lead to higher compliance costs and may require PGC to hold more capital, potentially restricting its ability to lend and grow. While the bank's successful wealth management division provides a valuable source of diversified fee income, its core banking operations remain vulnerable to these cyclical and competitive pressures. Any deterioration in its deposit base, particularly a flight of its high-value wealth management deposits, would pose a significant threat to its funding and liquidity profile.

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Current Price
28.20
52 Week Range
23.96 - 35.41
Market Cap
497.81M
EPS (Diluted TTM)
1.93
P/E Ratio
14.81
Forward P/E
9.37
Avg Volume (3M)
N/A
Day Volume
72,977
Total Revenue (TTM)
248.81M
Net Income (TTM)
34.41M
Annual Dividend
--
Dividend Yield
--